Tsipko doesn’t say but it is worth recalling that many Western governments and experts also called not only for presidentialism but even for autocratic powers on the basis of the assumption that the chief task of the Russian president must be to restore order and prevent the return of communists to power.
But of course, Tsipko argues, “the tragedy is that given our authoritarian habits a democratic change of power is impossible. In Russia up to now chances in power have occurred only via revolutions.” And the situation in foreign affairs is just as bad: the autocratic foreign policy of the Kremlin now is isolating Russia from the world and for a long time to come. Obviously, something can and should be done. 1991 showed that it is possible to aspire to something better. But the authorities are behaving in ways that make a radical rising more likely than a democratic revolution because they are taking steps that not only impoverish but infuriate the people. Tsipko suggests that in his view, the Kremlin’s policy of counter-sanctions is the present-day equivalent of the scorched earth policy of the Red Army in the winter of 1941-1942. That policy did little harm to the German invader, but it did enormous harm to the Russian people who found themselves without food or shelter as a result. “I very much fear,” Tsipko says, “that the continuation of the tactic of anti-sanctions will lead to the appearance of disappointment among the population, something the current powers that be don’t need.” Because if the masses because dissatisfied, they will ultimately rise, and what will come will not be a democratic revolution but something worse.Without a system of checks and balances, he suggests, Russians “are condemned to a lower dying out and degradation. The next perestroika, like any democratic revolution will be marked by chaos with an inevitable and already final disintegration of the country.”
Related:
- Russian crisis will give Chechnya another chance at independence, Bukovsky says
- Putin's new political technologies keep his antiquated system in place, Shevtsova says
- Ukrainian War far more dangerous for Russia than even the Chechen War, Nevzorov says
- Putin has provoked US to take steps that threaten Gazprom, his own 'purse,' Portnikov says
- Putin's war games on Ukrainian border aimed at Western leaders above all, analysts say
- Putin's Crimean miscalculation
 
			
