According to Fyodor Lukyanov, the editor of Russia in Global Affairs and one of the most prominent foreign policy commentators in Moscow, the transition in Belarus might go in any of these directions but is most likely to follow the course...
Plans for a new Baltic–Black Sea waterway, passing through Ukraine, Belarus and Poland, have the potential to revolutionize the geopolitics of Europe’s East as well as exacerbate East-West tensions (see EDM, February 18). The European...
Moscow can’t afford the consequences of a direct military invasion of Belarus and doesn’t have sufficient resources to be able to buy off Minsk, Aleksandr Vlantsevich says; and consequently, it has already begun a hybrid war against...
Sergey Dorenko, editor of This is Moscow Speaking, says that the Lukashenka regime is engaged in searches and arrests in the Belarusian KGB and the armed services, an indication that the Minsk apparently believes that a coup was being...
Andrey Dynko, a Belarusian commentator, has reminded the world of something many would like to ignore: when a foreign state, in this case, Russia, bribes someone at or near the top of a foreign country, as has happened in his country most...
The replacement of the brash Mikhail Babich by the more diplomatic Dmitry Mezentsev will not bring any fundamental change in Vladimir Putin’s drive to absorb Belarus into the Russian Federation, according to an iSANS expert. The public...
Coups and even more reported coup plots are typically murky affairs with one group suggesting someone is planning a real coup, a second that the regime itself is behind the reports in order to justify further repression, and still a third...
Most people see annexation as something that occurs once and for all at a particular time; but in fact, it can be a creeping process in which one country gradually takes over another which like the frog in warming water doesn’t recognize...
Vladimir Matskevich, a leading Belarusian thinker and sociologist, says that the Belarusian people must demand the convention of a constituent assembly to block efforts by the Lukashenka regime to make constitutional changes that will open...
Belarusian media have focused on the ways in which Moscow’s ambassador in Minsk, Mikhail Babich, has behaved in an anything but a diplomatic manner as he serves as Vladimir Putin’s proconsul in Belarus. But far less attention has been...
ACT II – INSIGHT: RETAINING POWER BY ALL MEANS Avakov as beneficiary of the policy shift? President Zelenskyy’s shift in personnel policy – from “new faces” to “experienced people” – which led to the...
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