In an article for New Times, independent Russian military analyst Aleksandr Golts says that the ongoing military maneuvers that Moscow is called Vostok-2018 are neither as large or significant as the Russian government claims but that...
All too many people in Moscow view Ukraine as a fraternal republic that NATO is using against Russia, Aleksandr Khramchikhin says. In fact, Ukraine is Russia’s mortal enemy and will continue to constitute a serious threat unless and...
One of the most reliable signs that an aggressor is about to launch a new attack is his replacement of local people who might resist his effort with carefully selected outsiders who can be counted on to support or at least not actively...
Leonid Polyakov, a former Ukrainian defense minister now at the Center for Research on the Army, Conversion and Disarmament, says that in the conflict with Russia over shipping on the Sea of Azov, Ukraine has law on its side but lacks both...
Over the last three months, the ratings of Vladimir Putin and the Russian authorities have fallen by almost 20 percent, down to a level not seen since the protest era of 2011-2012. His ratings then led him to invade Ukraine, Viktor...
In a remarkable turnabout, Moscow is going to purchase specially modified naval frigates from Beijing, the result of Russia’s declining ability to produce ships at home and its inability to buy them in the West because of sanctions and...
Moscow’s announcement that it will soon conduct its largest military exercise since 1981 “means only one thing,” Pavel Felgenhauer says. “The Kremlin is actively preparing for a world war.” In fact, the independent Russian...
Admiral Serhiy Hayduk, commander of the Ukrainian Navy, says that Russia is seeking to provoke revolts in Mariupol and Berdyansk by blocking shipping to them on the Sea of Azov and thus creating increasingly difficult conditions for those...
Andriy Klymenko, the editor of BlackSeaNews and a member of the Maidan of Foreign Affairs, says that Russia did not allow a single ship to pass through the Kerch Straits to Ukrainian ports between August 14 and August 21, effectively...
Analysts have offered a variety of reasons for the breakthrough on the Caspian – increased Russian concerns about security and a desire to keep US forces out of that region, Iranian interests in having a backdoor if Middle East...
ACT I – LOOKING BACK: ELECTION CAMPAIGNS AND POWER DUALISM Avakov’s political options During the presidential campaign of 2019, Avakov and Poroshenko pursued conflicting interests. A victory for Poroshenko would have ended...
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