Moscow can’t afford the consequences of a direct military invasion of Belarus and doesn’t have sufficient resources to be able to buy off Minsk, Aleksandr Vlantsevich says; and consequently, it has already begun a hybrid war against...
Sergey Dorenko, editor of This is Moscow Speaking, says that the Lukashenka regime is engaged in searches and arrests in the Belarusian KGB and the armed services, an indication that the Minsk apparently believes that a coup was being...
Andrey Dynko, a Belarusian commentator, has reminded the world of something many would like to ignore: when a foreign state, in this case, Russia, bribes someone at or near the top of a foreign country, as has happened in his country most...
The replacement of the brash Mikhail Babich by the more diplomatic Dmitry Mezentsev will not bring any fundamental change in Vladimir Putin’s drive to absorb Belarus into the Russian Federation, according to an iSANS expert. The public...
Coups and even more reported coup plots are typically murky affairs with one group suggesting someone is planning a real coup, a second that the regime itself is behind the reports in order to justify further repression, and still a third...
Most people see annexation as something that occurs once and for all at a particular time; but in fact, it can be a creeping process in which one country gradually takes over another which like the frog in warming water doesn’t recognize...
Vladimir Matskevich, a leading Belarusian thinker and sociologist, says that the Belarusian people must demand the convention of a constituent assembly to block efforts by the Lukashenka regime to make constitutional changes that will open...
Belarusian media have focused on the ways in which Moscow’s ambassador in Minsk, Mikhail Babich, has behaved in an anything but a diplomatic manner as he serves as Vladimir Putin’s proconsul in Belarus. But far less attention has been...
Belarus meets all three requirements as a target for a hybrid war and then use it as a base to attack other countries in a similar way, Russian commentator Yury Christensen says. Moreover, Belarusians say, Moscow is already conducting...
Speaking in Minsk today, Belarusian President Alyaksandr Lukashenka says that “under the pretext of ‘deep integration,’” Moscow wants to make Belarus part of Russia, an action he said he would never agree to and one that he...
ACT I – LOOKING BACK: ELECTION CAMPAIGNS AND POWER DUALISM Avakov’s political options During the presidential campaign of 2019, Avakov and Poroshenko pursued conflicting interests. A victory for Poroshenko would have ended...
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