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March 10: Pro-Russian collaborators have managed to create 3 “powerful tactical groups.

Le 10 mars – “Lors des dernières 24 heures, neuf soldats ont été blessés dans la zone de l’opération antiterroriste, aucune perte.” – le porte-parole de l’ATO, Andriy Lyssenko. Le 10 mars – Pendant la “trêve”, les forces militaires russes et les collaborateurs pro-russes ont réussi à créer des “groupes tactiques de choc” dans les régions suivantes: le Nord – en direction de Donetsk, la zone côtière – en direction de Marioupol, Louhansk – en direction du nord de la région. En fait, ils ont réussi à créer une armée à partir de groupes criminels disparates. Le 10 mars – Les analystes américains du Bureau Strafor estiment que la Russie peut continuer à soutenir les terroristes du Donbas et occuper toute la rive gauche de l’Ukraine. Le 10 mars – “Le Tribunal international de La Haye pourrait etudier “la question de la Crimée”, alors que toutes les différences entre la Russie et l’UE devraient être traitées en vertu du droit international.” – déclaration du ministre des Affaires étrangères d’Espagne, Jose Manuel Garcia-Margallo lors d’une conférence de presse après sa rencontre avec le ministre des Affaires étrangères de la Federation de Russie, Sergueï Lavrov. Le 10 mars – “Les militants terroristes continuent à détruire systématiquement le Donbas. Près du village d’Orikhove (district de Popasna, région de Louhansk), des inconnus ont fait sauter un pont de chemin de fer.” – le porte-parole de l’ATO, Andriy Lyssenko. Le 10 mars – Le ministre des Affaires étrangères d’Ukraine, Pavlo Klimkin a déclaré que les militants terroristes ne permettent pas à l’OSCE de surveiller le processus du retrait de leurs armes lourdes. Le 10 mars – Le dollar est tombé à 21,7 hryvnias ukrainiennes. Le 10 mars – Lors d’une conversation téléphonique avec le président français, François Hollande, le président de l’Ukraine, Petro Porochenko a déclaré qu’il n’y avait aucun progrès en ce qui concerne les négociations sur la libération de tous les otages, y compris Nadia Savtchenko. P.S.: Faîtes circuler cet appel, SVP!

By [email protected] (Тарас Возняк)

Le 10 mars – “Lors des dernières 24 heures, neuf soldats ont été blessés dans la zone de l’opération antiterroriste, aucune perte.” – le porte-parole de l’ATO, Andriy Lyssenko.

Le 10 mars – Pendant la “trêve”, les forces militaires russes et les collaborateurs pro-russes ont réussi à créer des “groupes tactiques de choc” dans les régions suivantes:

le Nord – en direction de Donetsk,

la zone côtière – en direction de Marioupol,

Louhansk – en direction du nord de la région.

En fait, ils ont réussi à créer une armée à partir de groupes criminels disparates.

Le 10 mars – Les analystes américains du Bureau
Strafor estiment que la Russie peut continuer à soutenir les terroristes du Donbas et occuper toute la rive gauche de l’Ukraine.

Le 10 mars – “Le Tribunal international de La Haye pourrait etudier “la question de la Crimée”, alors que toutes les différences entre la Russie et l’UE devraient être traitées en vertu du droit international.” – déclaration du ministre des Affaires étrangères d’Espagne, Jose Manuel Garcia-Margallo lors d’une conférence de presse après sa rencontre avec le ministre des Affaires étrangères de la Federation de Russie, Sergueï Lavrov.

Le 10 mars – “Les militants terroristes continuent à détruire systématiquement le Donbas. Près du village d’Orikhove (district de Popasna, région de Louhansk), des inconnus ont fait sauter un pont de chemin de fer.” – le porte-parole de l’ATO, Andriy Lyssenko.

Le 10 mars – Le ministre des Affaires étrangères d’Ukraine, Pavlo Klimkin a déclaré que les militants terroristes ne permettent pas à l’OSCE de surveiller le processus du retrait de leurs armes lourdes.

Le 10 mars – Le dollar est tombé à 21,7 hryvnias ukrainiennes.

Le 10 mars – Lors d’une conversation téléphonique avec le président français, François Hollande, le président de l’Ukraine, Petro Porochenko a déclaré qu’il n’y avait aucun progrès en ce qui concerne les négociations sur la libération de tous les otages, y compris Nadia Savtchenko.

P.S.: Faîtes circuler cet appel, SVP!

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February 12: ”Normandy Four” negotiations concluded in Minsk with a disappointing result for Ukraine

February 12 – "Normandy Four" negotiations concluded in Minsk with a disappointing result for Ukraine. Putin did not give in on a single point – there will be no withdrawal of Russian troops (they are, of course, nowhere close to Ukraine), no immediate resumption of control over the border, no reinstatement of sovereignty over occupied Crimea or Donbas. There are, however, the obligations on behalf of Ukraine to service social needs of separatists, legalize their armed gangs and hold fake elections under their watchful eye. The situation looks a lot like the surrender of Sudetenland (Czechoslovakia) to Hitler.

February 12 – Total financial assistance to Ukraine from the IMF and other organizations could amount to 40 billion dollars over 4 years, – said IMF's Managing Director Christine Lagarde.

February 12 – Russian Ministry for Emergency Situations has announced the preparations for the 14th so-called humanitarian aid convoy destined for Donbas – more weapons will be transported, no doubt.

February 12 – Russia has transferred another lot of military equipment and artillery to the territory of Ukraine, controlled by militants – approximately 50 tanks, 40 "Grad", "Uragan" and "Smerch" multiple rocket launch systems and 40 armored vehicles crossed Russian-Ukrainian border at border crossing point Izvaryne, – said NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko.

February 12 – The transfer of the amphibious assault ship "Vladivostok" (Mistral-class) to Russia could begin as early as next week.

February 12 – EU High Representative for Common Foreign and Security Policy Federica Mogherini does not expect sanctions against Russia to be discussed during the summit of EU member-states leaders to be held on Thursday.

February 12 – Secretary General of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) Lamberto Zannier hassaid that at present it is impossible to determine whether the militants in Donbas are also soldiers of the regular Russian army. OSCE has completely exhausted itself as a security-oriented organization.

February 12 – Agreements reached in Minsk during the meeting of the leaders of the countries of the "Normandy quartet" are absolutely weak. This was stated by the President of Lithuania, Dalia Grybaskaite, to journalists in Brussels before the EU Summit. "The fundamental part of the resolution is the control of the borders. It was not agreed upon and not resolved," she noted. "This means that the border is open for crossing by whatever soldiers and whatever artillery," remarked Grybaskaite. "This means that the resolution is totally weak," emphasized the President of Lithuania. She is also not very optimistic about the agreements on the cease-fire.

"Five months ago we already had one agreement about a cease-fire which was not implemented. Let's see what happens with this one," underlined Grybaskaite. "We will observe in the next few days how at least these partial agreements will be implemented," she added.

War is hell! (photo report from occupied Vuhlehirsk)

Russia lies... great start to Minsk agreement (Savchenko cannot be released!!)

Timothy Ash

Ukraine – deal thoughts


I guess with hindsight, a deal was always going to be done. Merkel was not going to get on a flight to Minsk, after Kyiv, Moscow, and Berlin, and not get something. And Putin needed to try and rebuild some bridges with Merkel, after seemingly upsetting her at Brisbane. Merkel is probably the honest broker in all this. She really feels for the Ukrainian position, but understands the real threat from Russia – she reads Putin better than any other Western leader, and cannot be bought. But it is Bismark-style real politik for Merkel, and she was desperate to stop the fighting – almost at any cost, which is entirely understandable. Hollande will likely get his aircraft carriers delivered, and sees all this as offering the hope of ressurection in terms of his presidency at home – a global leader, strutting the international stage and making Cameron, et al look like poodles, or rather a bulldog with no teeth. Putin gets his aircraft carriers, which will no doubt have a nice shiny berth now awaiting in Sebastopol. Putin also fended off near term threats of sanctions from the West, and can sell himself to allies in Europe (there are many) as a peacemaker – again heading off further sanctions threats. He has also not agreed to very much, as I don't think his signature is on the document, so if it fails (and it likely will) he can blame others. He has also headed off the threat of the US arming Ukraine – and therein he is in cahoots with Obama himself, who will see this deal as being useful in fending off calls from the DC consensus (including within his own administration) now to arm Ukraine – and can return to his own "splendid isolation" or "strategic patience" as it is now called stateside. That's a nice term for doing as little as possible. Poroshenko gets his IMF programme, and can try and roll out reforms attached to this to try and assure the supporters of Maydan that this team is really the Real Deal in terms of the reforms they so desire. Note the IMF press release was timed for 10am, just as news of the Minsk deal broke – so my sense is that someone was telling the Ukrainians that an IMF deal was contingent on a Minsk ceasefire deal. No ceasefire – no IMF deal. And the IMF gets to roll out its new programme, which it has been working on for months. Poroshenko probably also thinks that the ceasefire will buy time for Ukraine to regroup, rearm against the clear and present danger of further Russian intervention. But will it all stick/last? I just do not think so, as I still fail to see from this deal what is different to Minsk I in terms of delivery on Russian strategic objectives in Ukraine. Minsk I clearly did not deliver for Russia, hence that ceasefire did not last long, so let's see what is really different this time around. The issues of real autonomy/federalism, and border control don't appear to be properly addressed in this document. Constitutional reform towards the Russian agenda will be impossible for Poroshenko to deliver. And finally and fundamentally why I do not think that the status quo is sustainable – one year ago Russia felt the need to annex Crimea, and intervene in eastern Ukraine. But one year ago Ukraine was no threat to Russia as a) it was non aligned; b) popular support for Nato membership was low single digits, and there was little support in parliament or amongst political elites to drive Ukraine NATO membership. C) the west really did not want Ukraine in NATO as they saw this as a red rag to the Russian bull, and as events have proved could not defend Ukraine under NATO's TOR; c) the Ukrainian military had limited fighting capability as was proven in the early days of the conflict, but subsequently changed; d) the govt in Kyiv was weak and disarray and the Ukrainian economy on the brink of collapse; e) and as events have proven Russia had de facto control of Crimea via the stationing of 26,000 troops and the long term BSF agreement. And f) and finally Ukrainians were not anti-russian or even particularly anti-Putin. If Moscow was not a real threat a year ago, but Moscow felt compelled to intervene, look at the risk from a Russian perspective now from Ukraine – a) Ukraine is no longer non aligned. B) it now wants to join NATO and opinion polls now show majority support for this. C) Ukraine is rebuilding military capability and the military doctrine is now against the threat from Russia; d) Ukraine has a reform admin in Kyiv, which has a real chance of succeeding now with imf support. It can offer a rival and successful model of development to Putin's power vertical and sovereign democracy. E) Opinion polls show strong ukrainian opposition/distaste for the Putin regime. So, net-net the above still suggests the risk of further future Russian intervention in Ukraine.

P.S.: Please spread this appeal as much as possible.

March 22: Russia tries to pressure all countries that want to participate in a common missile defense system project

U.S., UK, Canada, Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa

March 22 – The West needs a new transatlantic strategy in response to the challenges posed by Russia, – said the President of Poland Bronislaw Komorowski, speaking at a forum in Brussels (reports PAP). "The West remained delusional for too long, believing that Russia will choose modernization because it is in its interest to do so", – said Komorowski. "We need a strategy that would unite the West in view of new challenges, in order to adhere to core values and interests of Euro-Atlantic community; a strategy, which would unite the efforts put in by the key institutions, both in the EU and NATO", – emphasized Komorowski.

March 22 – Viktor Yanukovych Jr., younger son of former President of Ukraine, has died in Russia. A Volkswagen he was driving with 5 passengers on board fell through the ice on Lake Baikal.

March 22 – Russia tries to pressure all countries that want to participate in a common missile defense system project, said Philip Breedlove, Supreme Allied Commander Europe of NATO Allied Command Operations (reports Reuters) when commenting on a statement made previously by the Ambassador of Russia in Denmark Mikhail Vanin about Denmark being a target of a possible Russian nuclear attack if it joins NATO missile defense system. "Romania has come under a lot of pressure when it became a part of the shield. Poland is under great pressure, and now everyone who still wants to join this defense project will be under diplomatic and political pressure", – said Breedlove.

March 22 – In St. Petersburg (Russia) a Russian International Conservative Forum was held with the participation of ultra-right parties of the whole Europe. The organizer was the Russian Conservative Party "Rodyna". Its leader is a member of the fraction of the pro-Putin Party of United Russia in the State Duma of the Russian Federation. As the site of the organization informs, the main goal of the Forum is the creation of a plan of action and a general coordinating committee of all nationalist forces in Russia and Ukraine.

Near the hotel where the Forum was held, there was a protest meeting against this gathering of neo-fascists; people banged their drums and called out anti-fascist slogans. However, the Russian police apprehended eight demonstrators who were demonstrating against the holding of the Forum, and not against the neo-fascists.

In Petersburg there are also the so-called "individual" protests against the holding of this Forum.

An "individual" picket is when one person by her/his self has a poster with a protest – in Russia this is the only form of protest which does not require previous governmental approval.

Broken Ukraine

West should consider all tools, including arms

Long Live Minsk2!!

Ukraine's ceasefire deal hurt by deception

P.S.: Please spread this appeal as much as possible.