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Anti-Terrorist operation: Summary for August 1, 2014, as of 12:00

Donetsk Oblast: North & Western Donetsk and Horlivka

Yesterday we reported that the ATO forces liberated Avdiivka and proceeded to Yasynuvata. Thus the complete encirclement of Horlyvka is almost done. This means that terrorists will probably counterattack from Donetsk in this direction, or may try to breach the ATO encirclement from Horlivka via Panteleimonivka.in order to reach Donesk. The consolidation of ATO positions around Horlivka continues and further information will be reported when it becomes available.

Donetsk Oblast: South and Central Areas

Over the previous 24 hour period the militants continued their attacks on positions of the Ukrainian forcers in the Savur-Mohyla and Uspenka. As we warned, in Amvrosiivka the DNR terrorists behaved so freely that inflicted losses to the ATO forces and the State border forces.

We will try to explain what was happened.  The vigilance of the ATO forces was relaxed after the reports about a “brilliant victories” in the South-East of Donetsk. At the same time, the terrorists used the tactics of guerrilla warfare flowing through the ATO forces and starting to act in their rear. This is what happened during the night in Amvrosiivka. Because there was no one to back our forces, the Ukrainian forces immediately received a thrust in the Vasylivka area from Mokrojelanchyk village, which was considered free. Therefore we didn’t mark Amvrosiivka on our maps in the ATO zone of control.

In the area south of the city of Donetsk our forces have released Novyi Svit and carried out an assault on Donetsk from the South. They also quickly took Ilovaisk. But again, unfortunately without the consolidation of their position they moved on further.

A similar situation happened on Savur-Mohyla. The height was taken by the ATO forces, but they then pushed on to Rovenky and Sverdlovsk in the Luhansk Region without the liberation of Snizhne. Unfortunately this  allowed the terrorists to strike Savur-Mogila from Snizhne, almost resulting in a gloomy conclusion for the troops on Savur-Mogila. There is a question as to why there was no backup for our military units on the Savur-Mogila?

Now let us talk about Shakhtarsk and N21 highway. By morning of August, 1 the highway had not been blocked. Terrorists accumulated in Zuhres in order to ensure control over the highway. A lot of military equipment (especially multiple rocket launchers) arrived in Zuhres. Realizing that it is impossible to attack from the direction of the highway, Ukrainian troops advanced upon Shakhtarsk from a northerly direction (from Rozsypne). Then the question arises: why do Ukrainian forces advance only towards Shakhtarsk and ignore Zuhres? Do they want another stab in the back?

Luhansk Oblast: South of Luhansk and the Border

Yesterday the OSCE mission arrived to the Izvaryne border post. Unfortunately they only observed the section of the border around the borderpost, while the routes the Russians use for their reinforcements is at well over 10kms to the north through villages of Sjevernyi, Popivka, and Velykyi Sukhodil. All three used routes converge into one road and go through the area of the mine Sukhodilska-East, going directly to the city of Sukhodilsk (Krasnodon district), and onto the highway M04.

Terrorists continue to build up their forces along the M04 highway (Krasnodon, Molodohvardiisk, Novohannivka, Novosvetlivka). They expect that the ATO forces will attack from the direction of Vilkhova (East of Luhansk) and advance upon Izvaryne.  The Ukrainian grouping in the area of Lutuhyne are currently cut off from the main forces. Let us hope that Ukrainian troops are able to complete the encirclement of Luhansk from the eastern side and provide a corridor for that grouping. Otherwise the story of Chervonopartyzansk is going to reoccur here.

At the same time the terrorists continue to move their troops into the Dyakove area from Rovenky, in order to block ATO reinforcements to the troops on the border. It is clear that we need to create a supply route to the guys in Chervonopartyzansk, where they sit in trenches bitterly exposed to shelling by GRAD missile systems.

Forecast of Provocations

For the last 24 hours the conflict in Ukraine has continued with the active intervention of the Russian Federation. The deployment of equipment and personnel of the enemy to terrorist units in the Donbas continues without pause.

Another column of the Russian armoured vehicles came to Ukraine on the night of July 31st. With these re-enforcements there are three likely alternative directions of terrorist attacks:

  1. Along the M03 to Fashchivka where the enemy might make an attempt to attack the АTO forces which are pushing from Debaltseve to Krasnyi Luch.
  2. Through Alchevsk to Bryanka, where there is the concentration of the terrorist forces which could pose a threat to the Ukrainian troops which are trying to liberate Pervomaisk.
  3. Through Achevsk to Bryanka, but instead of attacking towards Pervomaisk this force could attack south towards Debalseve in order to split and cut off the ATO forces in the North Luhansk area from the forces South of Donesk.

 We already got the negative experiences of carelessness in protecting our rear in Amvrosiivka and Savur-Mogila, and this has to be taken into account to prevent new errors.

The External Threat

The number of Russian troops along the border with Ukraine continues to increase. If the Russian Federation decides to attack, this will likely happen in the area of Kharkiv and Sumy regions. It is interesting that Ukrainian law enforcers found a car packed with weapons and ammunition in the forest near Korolevets (Sumy region). This could indicate future subversive activity in this direction.

We should not forget about large grouping of the Russian forces in the Rostov region and the bridgehead of approaches to the mainland from occupied Crimea. The only good news is that the Russian Federation has to transfer its forces from other border regions in order to build up forces there; this means that Russia has problems with battle-worthy units. Thus, if the Russian Federation sends troops, they may well experience problems with resources limitations. Besides, it is noteworthy that the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the 4 months of the war in Donbas have gotten much more relevant battle experience than the Russian Federation got from the 10 years of the war in Chechnya. Why? Because Chechen forces had no tanks, no air defense etc. And if the Ukrainian forces already begin to gain control over the situation in such conditions, then open confrontation in the war will not be a `cakewalk’ for the Russian army.

[hr]By Roman Burko, burkonews.info
Translated by Victoria Field and Oxana Tinko; edited by Larry Field

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January 22: Whereas Russia’s Foreign Minister Lavrov said again, mockingly, that he yet needs to be presented with any evidence that Russian army is indeed fighting in Donbas

January 22 – On August 24th, 2014 (Independence Day of Ukraine) Putin's army entered Ukrainian Donbas en masse and started its offensive. On January 22nd, 2015 (Day of Ukrainian Unity – celebrating the unity of Eastern and Western Ukraine) Putin's army has ostentatiously "conquered" a symbolic Ukrainian site – Donetsk airport – today Ukrainian military left behind most parts of the airport. Whereas Russia's Foreign Minister Lavrov said again, mockingly, that he yet needs to be presented with any evidence that Russian army is indeed fighting in Donbas.

January 22 – 10 Ukrainian military were killed and 16 wounded in ATO on January 21st, – informed the spokesman of the General Staff of Ukrainian Armed Forces Vladyslav Seleznyov.

January 22 – Whereas NATO would like to re-establish communication with colleagues from the General Staff of the Russia's Armed Forces, – stated Supreme Allied Commander Europe of NATO Allied Command Operations, US General Philip Breedlove (Reuters).

January 22 – The Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Oleksandr Turchynov hasn't ruled out offensive operations by the militants in the near future (stated by Turchynov as a result of his visit to the war zone, according to NSDC press-service). "New terminal has been almost completely destroyed, but our Armed Forces have strengthened their positions near the village of Pisky and inflicted a series of very strong assaults", – said Turchynov.

January 22 – Militants of the terrorist group "People's Republic of Donetsk" have "paraded" captive Ukrainian soldiers along the streets of Donetsk. Abuse of prisoners and torture of prisoners violates Hague Convention on the rules of military operations (The Hague Conventions of 1899 and 1907). Abuse of prisoners is punishable under Hague Tribunal. Instead, Ukrainian government is trying to start negotiations on the release of prisoners of war captured at Donetsk airport, – informed NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko.

January 22 – Self-proclaimed leader of Donetsk-based terrorists Oleksand Zakharchenko has said that they intend to "push the frontline" further from Donetsk. It has been previously reported that in September 2014, when explaining the invasion of the city of Novoazovsk and other areas by the militants and disguised Russian soldiers, Russian President Vladimir Putin explained that the main objective of the militants is "pushing the frontline further".

January 22 – In Donetsk, the terrorists fired at a trolleybus with a mobile mortar, killing seven civilians. The site of the attack is located 20 km from Donetsk airport. For several days now, the terrorists have been travelling around Donetsk in a van with a mortar, shooting at residential areas, trying to encourage the residents to take up anti-Ukrainian views.

January 22 – During the meeting in Berlin of the heads of the Ministries of Foreign Affairs of the countries of the "Normandic foursome," progress was made only regarding one issue of the Minsk agreements. This was written by Ukraine's Minister of Foreign Affairs, Pavlo Klimkin on his page on Twitter. "Yesterday in Berlin there was a Borodino – a diplomatic battle, which no one won or lost. We made one step forward on one point of Minsk agreements," he wrote. According to him, it concerns a ceasefire.

January 22 – Facts confirm that Russia is directly involved in the army operation in Eastern Ukraine. This was stated by the President of Lithuania, Dalia Hrybauskaite to the Lithuanian journalists during the Davos Forum, writes Delfi.lt. "This is open territorial aggression, carried out not by some terrorists-seperatists, but by Russia itself, because neither the separatists nor some other people can have such weapons. These cannot be bought at the market or on the street; they are very specific – they can only be owned by big countries," she emphasized. "All the more, there are direct indications that not only the weapons, but the army itself (Russian), its subdivisions are involved," said Hrybauskaite. According to her, Russian representatives are openly lying about the situation in Ukraine. "We really see an enormous demonstration of lying when they say one thing and do something totally opposite, when they blame one side, but, it turns out, that the obligations are not being fulfilled by the other (side)," said the President of Lithuania.

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